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MSAD: A Deep Dive into Model Selection for Time series Anomaly Detection
Sylligardos, Emmanouil, Paparrizos, John, Palpanas, Themis, Senellart, Pierre, Boniol, Paul
Anomaly detection is a fundamental task for time series analytics with important implications for the downstream performance of many applications. Despite increasing academic interest and the large number of methods proposed in the literature, recent benchmarks and evaluation studies demonstrated that no overall best anomaly detection methods exist when applied to very heterogeneous time series datasets. Therefore, the only scalable and viable solution to solve anomaly detection over very different time series collected from diverse domains is to propose a model selection method that will select, based on time series characteristics, the best anomaly detection methods to run. Existing AutoML solutions are, unfortunately, not directly applicable to time series anomaly detection, and no evaluation of time series-based approaches for model selection exists. Towards that direction, this paper studies the performance of time series classification methods used as model selection for anomaly detection. In total, we evaluate 234 model configurations derived from 16 base classifiers across more than 1980 time series, and we propose the first extensive experimental evaluation of time series classification as model selection for anomaly detection. Our results demonstrate that model selection methods outperform every single anomaly detection method while being in the same order of magnitude regarding execution time. This evaluation is the first step to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of time series classification algorithms for anomaly detection, and represents a strong baseline that can then be used to guide the model selection step in general AutoML pipelines. Preprint version of an article accepted at the VLDB Journal.
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Labels Matter More Than Models: Quantifying the Benefit of Supervised Time Series Anomaly Detection
Zhong, Zhijie, Yu, Zhiwen, Yang, Kaixiang, Chen, C. L. Philip
Abstract--Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is a critical data mining task often constrained by label scarcity. Consequently, current research predominantly focuses on Unsupervised Time-series Anomaly Detection (UT AD), relying on complex architectures to model normal data distributions. However, this approach often overlooks the significant performance gains available from limited anomaly labels achievable in practical scenarios. This paper challenges the premise that architectural complexity is the optimal path for TSAD. We conduct the first methodical comparison between supervised and unsupervised paradigms and introduce STAND, a streamlined supervised baseline. Extensive experiments on five public datasets demonstrate that: (1) Labels matter more than models: under a limited labeling budget, simple supervised models significantly outperform complex state-of-the-art unsupervised methods; (2) Supervision yields higher returns: the performance gain from minimal supervision far exceeds that from architectural innovations; and (3) Practicality: STAND exhibits superior prediction consistency and anomaly localization compared to unsupervised counterparts. These findings advocate for a data-centric shift in TSAD research, emphasizing label utilization over purely algorithmic complexity. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/EmorZz1G/ST IME series anomaly detection (TSAD) is a crucial and challenging task in time series data mining, with broad applications in fields such as industrial system monitoring, cybersecurity, and health surveillance [1, 2, 3, 4]. Due to the scarcity of anomaly samples and the high cost of labeling in TSAD, unsupervised time series anomaly detection (UT AD) methods have garnered significant attention in recent years [5, 3, 6, 7]. Typically, unsupervised methods assume that the training time series data primarily consists of normal samples.
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